Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.017516 0.019310 0.021120 0.023077 0.025129 0.027213 0.029485
2025-06-29 0.013609 0.016338 0.019211 0.022437 0.025939 0.029606 0.033717
2025-07-06 0.010971 0.014110 0.017526 0.021472 0.025860 0.030550 0.035904
2025-07-13 0.009717 0.013229 0.017155 0.021789 0.027033 0.032722 0.039298
2025-07-20 0.008417 0.012148 0.016434 0.021598 0.027541 0.034074 0.041712
2025-07-27 0.007342 0.011228 0.015810 0.021437 0.028012 0.035325 0.043957
2025-08-03 0.006866 0.010988 0.015947 0.022124 0.029422 0.037606 0.047332
2025-08-10 0.005991 0.010172 0.015330 0.021871 0.029698 0.038565 0.049185
2025-08-17 0.005201 0.009396 0.014711 0.021568 0.029879 0.039382 0.050848
2025-08-24 0.004549 0.008750 0.014211 0.021373 0.030157 0.040287 0.052591
2025-08-31 0.003946 0.008119 0.013690 0.021120 0.030338 0.041057 0.054159
2025-09-07 0.003480 0.007641 0.013339 0.021055 0.030727 0.042055 0.055977
2025-09-14 0.002851 0.006901 0.012653 0.020609 0.030722 0.042681 0.057486
2025-09-21 0.002217 0.006081 0.011821 0.019956 0.030461 0.043017 0.058684
2025-09-28 0.001621 0.005214 0.010848 0.019059 0.029844 0.042885 0.059291
2025-10-05 0.001403 0.004983 0.010777 0.019354 0.030727 0.044560 0.062039
2025-10-12 0.001110 0.004553 0.010377 0.019176 0.030984 0.045460 0.063851
2025-10-19 0.000866 0.004167 0.010012 0.019025 0.031261 0.046371 0.065667
2025-10-26 0.000793 0.004144 0.010216 0.019669 0.032572 0.048559 0.069024
2025-11-02 0.000590 0.003762 0.009813 0.019431 0.032713 0.049286 0.070607
2025-11-09 0.000417 0.003389 0.009392 0.019147 0.032776 0.049906 0.072049
2025-11-16 0.000289 0.003081 0.009054 0.018965 0.032963 0.050670 0.073660
2025-11-23 0.000184 0.002774 0.008692 0.018728 0.033061 0.051314 0.075118